SGI
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๐ŸŒWorldGDP-weighted
03070100
0.0
Fragile
0-30
30-70
70-100
0.45ร—70.6+0.35ร—46.4+0.2ร—53.6=58.7

Historical Comparison

19291929 Crash
74-15
1987Black Monday
34+25
1997Asian Crisis
67-8
2000Dotcom
53+6
20082008 Crisis
75-16

All Indicators โ€” ๐ŸŒ World

Healthy Warning Critical

Credit Efficiency

โ†’

How much debt needed for 1% growth

3.5x

Current value

1x

Ideal

3x

Threshold

Private Debt/GDP

โ†’

Total private debt relative to GDP

149%

Current value

100%

Ideal

150%

Threshold

Gov Debt/GDP

โ†’

Government debt relative to GDP

97%

Current value

30%

Ideal

60%

Threshold

Zombie Companies

โ†’

Non-viable companies that continue to exist

16%

Current value

5%

Ideal

10%

Threshold

CB Balance/GDP

โ†’

Degree of monetary intervention

32%

Current value

15%

Ideal

40%

Threshold

Gov Debt-Growth Ratio

โ†’

Ratio <1: GDP grows faster than government debt. Informational โ€” not weighted in the pillar score.

1.7x

Current value

1x

Ideal

1.5x

Threshold

House/Income Ratio

โ†’

Housing market affordability

8x

Current value

4x

Ideal

7x

Threshold

Trust in Institutions

โ†’

Trust in national institutions

54%

Current value

65%

Ideal

50%

Threshold

Wealth Inequality

โ†’

Ratio of wealth growth (top 20%) to median income growth

3.9x

Current value

1.5x

Ideal

3x

Threshold

Institutional Constraint Factor

โ†’

Ratio of private debt to institutional trust

2.8x

Current value

2x

Ideal

4x

Threshold

The 3 Pillars

Click a pillar for details

70.6

Financial

45% of total

Contribution
31.8
Credit Efficiency
3.5x
Private Debt/GDP
149%
Gov Debt/GDP
97%
46.4

Structural

35% of total

Contribution
16.2
Zombie Companies
16%
CB Balance/GDP
32%
Gov Debt-Growth Ratio
1.7x
53.6

Social

20% of total

Contribution
10.7
House/Income Ratio
8x
Trust in Institutions
54%
Wealth Inequality
3.9x
Institutional Constraint Factor
2.8x
SGIยทWorld

Sources: IMF WEO, BIS, Eurostat + curated series

Updated: 21 May 2026