SGI Insights & Analyses
In-depth analyses on systemic risks, national debts and macroeconomic trends.
7 Macro Indicators That Measure Systemic Fragility
Which data points quantify systemic risk? We analyze 7 indicators based on official BIS, IMF and ECB data — from private debt/GDP to credit efficiency.
Netherlands: Why Private Debt Tells More Than Public Debt
The Netherlands has low public debt (46.5% GDP), but private debt at 213% of GDP. What does this gap reveal about the actual macro risk profile?
Zombie Company Ratio as a Systemic Risk Indicator
The zombie company ratio in the Netherlands has risen to 12%. How does this KPI work, how do we compare internationally, and what does it measure about systemic fragility?
Eurozone Debt Sustainability: Country Analysis Based on SGI Data
How do SGI scores compare across the eurozone? A data analysis of Italy, France, Spain, the Netherlands and Germany — with the interest-growth gap as core metric.
Eurozone Debt Sustainability: An Analysis
Is eurozone national debt still sustainable? We analyze the key indicators.
SGI Index: The Affordable Alternative to Bloomberg
Macroeconomic risk analysis without the Bloomberg Terminal price tag.
Backtest: What Does the SGI Index Actually Measure? The 2008 Crisis as Case Study
We applied the SGI formula to historical BIS, IMF and ECB data going back to 2005. The SGI doesn't predict crash dates — but how fragile the system is. Before 2008, the fragility was already visible in the data.
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